Are the loudest voices really the wisest? Doubt, not certainty, is the hallmark of true wisdom and so embracing uncertainty ...

Examining the nature and origin of human intelligence and the intersection with machine intelligence in the past, present and ...

Here’s the problem with forecasts: some of them are right, and some of them are wrong, and by the time we find out which is which, it’s too late. This leads to what we might call the forecasting ...

Danica Averill made 35 saves for Brandon, with Orieanna Kennedy and Joslyn Tetlock combining to make 17 stops for Interlake. On Saturday at J&G Homes Arena, Haley Blaine and Chloe Kachur opened ...

Despite their strong positive average returns across numerous asset classes, momentum strategies can experience infrequent and persistent strings of negative returns. These momentum crashes are partly ...

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77(6), 1121-1134. Tetlock, P. E. (2005). Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know? Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

Naturally, both China and the United States have been investing in naval and air technology that will give them an edge in a potential conflict. When it comes to air... Spotting Russian Navy ...